青海省兴海7.0级地震前兆     

杨明德  胡爱真 《内陆地震》1997,11(4):337-344

介绍了青海省兴海７．０级地震前水氡，地下水位，地表形变，地震活动性，气象及动物等出现的异常，并对震前的预报作了简介。  相似文献   

震后预报的某些研究     

吕培苓  孙士宏 《地震》1997,17(1):67-74

通过研究华北北部中强以上地震震后地震活动，地形变、地电阻率、水化学和水位变化特征，给出了各单项方法识别震后效应与新地震异常的标志。为了综合判别震后短临异常变化是震后效应或新异常，研制了一套综合识别计算机程序系统，该系统考虑了已发生的强震序列类型，地震活动背景特征以及强震前后前兆短临异常变化形态，充分利用专家的知识与经验进行推理和判断。通过运行典型事例表明该系统功能较强，使用方便。系统的实现是专家系  相似文献   

华北北部场源前兆观测资料分析(一)──场源前兆特征与机制     

王贵宣  张肇诚  郑大林  桂燮泰 《地震》1997,(4)

1976年唐山地震前，在距震源很远的地区内都观测到一些前兆趋势变化，如重力、重力位二次徽商W△、水氧、地电阻率、水位和油井出油量等变化。作者认为这些变化不是由震源体直接引起的，而是在区域应力场的作用下，在某些活动断层附近，浅层岩，尤其是含水砂岩层和含油层受挤压出现的一些与地震有关的异常现象。其特征是：（1）异常范围大，可能在距震源很远的地方发生，但就同一种方法的多个观测点来说却又是局部的，即只有其中部分测点才能观测到异常，不少测点观测不到异常。（2）异常发生的时间大致相同。有些异常有同步变化的特征，如同时上升或同时下降。（3）临震前多数异常有恢复的趋势。这些特征与引起异常的机理有关。作者还从理论上计算了这种趋势异常量级，重力变化100×10-6cm／s2左右，重力位二次微商变化（1～2）×10－9／s2，地电阻率变化2％～3％，Rn变化7．4～11．1Bq／L，这样的变化量在活动断层附近的一些台站可能观测到。作者还研究了干旱降雨对某些前兆的影响，其影响量级可以被一些方法观测到，因此在确定是否是地震异常时，必须注意利用综合分析的方法排除干旱降雨的影响，减少异常的多解性。  相似文献   

Candidate precursors: pulse-like geoelectric signals possibly related to recent seismic activity in Japan   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Yuji Enomoto  Akito Tsutsumi  Yukio Fujinawa  Minoru Kasahara  Hiroshi Hashimoto 《Geophysical Journal International》1997,131(3):485-494

Telemetric network observations of pulse-like geoelectric charge signals using a vertical dipole buried under the ground were undertaken at various observation sites over a wide area in Japan from April 1996. From continuous records of the signals during the six months following that, we attempted to select anomalous signals, possibly related to seismic electric activity. Special attention was paid to the elimination of noise resulting from industrial and meteorological electric activity, comparison with other electromagnetic signals in the VLF band and the relation between the precursor period and the distance from the eventual main shock that occurred in Japan. Four candidate precursor electric signals, which were not contaminated by industrial and meteorological electric activity, were then selected, of which the second appeared before the Akita-ken Nairiku-nanbu earthquake swarm, for which the maximum M = 5.9 occurred on 1996 August 11, and the third and fourth before the Chiba-ken Toho-oki earthquake, M = 6.6, on 1996 September 11. A tentative qualitative model explaining why the candidate precursory signal is related to stress building up before an earthquake is presented in terms of the electrification of gases released from fracturing rocks immediately prior to the main shock.  相似文献   

欠压实地层古地层压力恢复的统计模拟法及其在松辽盆地中的应用   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

付广  庞雄奇  姜振学  张树林 《沉积学报》1996,(1)

恢复烃源岩古地层压力和对于研究其生留排烃过程具有重要意义。Ｎａｋａｙａｍａ［１］等在开展盆地模拟研究时应用Ｒｕｂｅｙ（１９５９）和Ｃｈａｐｍａｎ（１９７）等人提出的数学地质模型对欠压实地层的古地层压力进行恢复。本文通过对松辽盆地欠压实地层的研究发现欠压实因子随地层厚度、埋深、围岩渗透性等地质条件的不同而改变，在此基础上提出了欠压实地层压力恢复的统计模拟法，克服了目前Ｎａｋａｙａｍａ［１］等将地层埋藏过程中的欠压实因子视为常数的不足，从而使计算结果更接近实际。统计模拟法在松辽盆地的应用结果表明了这一方法在实用中的可行性和有效性。  相似文献   

Physical universals in problem of precursor soliton generation   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Zhaoting Xu  Shan-Pu Samuel Shen 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》1997,40(3):306-314

Six physical universals and two general relations in the problem of locally forced precursor soliton generation are found thcoretically in terms of the AfKdV equation derived by authors. These six universals and two general relations are examined by experiment and numerical calculation of two-layer flow based on the canonical character of the coefficients of tlie fKdV equations. From comparisons among the theoretical, numerical and experimental results, it is shown that they are in good agreement. There is not any free parameter in this theory, so the theory of the present paper can be used to predict thc wave properties of locally forced precursor soliton generation. Project supported hy Foundation of the State Education Commission for The Dynamics of Upper Ocean and grants of Physical Oceanography Laboratory of Ocean University of Qingdao.  相似文献   

都江堰M_L4.4地震前兆异常特征及预报概况          下载免费PDF全文

章旭玲  王翰全  陈明勇 《地震工程学报》1997,19(1):49-53

介绍了１９９３年１２月３０日都江堰ＭＬ４．４地震的前兆异常特征及震前预报概况。震前异常主要有空区、ｂ值、波速比、电磁波等  相似文献   

1995年永登5.8级地震多种前兆异常特征   总被引：3，自引：5，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

杜学彬  李步云  刘耀炜 《地震工程学报》1997,19(4):19-24

研究了１９９５年７月２２日甘肃永登５．８级地震地电、水化学、水动态、地应力、地形变等５种前兆的异常特征，得到如下结论：①该次地震中短期（１年尺度）和短临异常空间分布符合“异常震源地点发震机制主要活断层”之间的特定关系，近２～３年的中期异常集中分布在西秦岭北缘北西向断裂带和海原通渭武都南北向断裂带上；②震前约１年时间尺度震源区发育起来了北北西南南东向挤压变化突出的附加应力场，并引起断层错动；③源兆集中分布在本次地震震源周围，场兆集中分布在上述两条活动断裂带上．源兆占异常的大多数，场兆占少数．在时间上场兆出现在先，源兆在后．  相似文献   

地震预测研究与展望   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

陈棋福  陈颙  李娟  陈龙生 《地球物理学报》1997,40(Z1):386-395

概要介绍了近年来国际上就地震预测所展开的争论，分析了VAN方法所反映的地震前兆研究动向；就地震前兆观测与数据资料库建设、地震前兆的统计分析、地震的动力学预测、地震预测算法的发展等方面，论述了国际地震预测研究的进展；并概略地介绍了中国的地震预测研究进展．  相似文献   

Experimental research on reservoir sensitivity to stress and impacts on productivity in Kela 2 Gas Field     

Sun Longde  Song Wenjie  Jiang Tongwen 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2004,47(Z2)

Kela 2 Gas Field, with high formation pressure (74.35MPa), high pressure coefficient (2.022) and difficulty of potential test and evaluation, is the largest integrated proved dry gas reservoir in China so far and the principal source for West-East Gas Development Project. In order to correctly evaluate the elastic-plastic deformation of rocks caused by the pressure decline during production, some researches, as the experiment on reservoir sensitivity to stress of gas filed with abnormal high pressure, are made. By testing the rock mechanic properties, porosities and permeabilities at different temperature and pressure of 342 core samples from 5 wells in this area, the variations of petro-physical properties at changing pressure are analyzed, and the applicable inspection relationship is concluded. The average productivity curve with the reservoir sensitivity to stress is plotted on the basis of the research, integrated with the field-wide productivity equation. The knowledge lays a foundation for the gas well productivity evaluation in the field and the gas field development plan, and provides effective techniques and measures for basic research on the development of similar gas fields.  相似文献